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Knowledge Inflation in the Era of Generative Intelligence

The dawn of the generative AI era has ushered in not only a technological leap but a profound crisis in scholarly communication. An analysis of data from the journal Organization Science spanning January 2021 to February 2026 reveals a troubling pattern: the emergence of ChatGPT acted as a catalyst for a surge in submissions, which was accompanied by a proportional decline in material quality. The editorial board processed nearly seven thousand submissions and over ten thousand reviews, noting that the volume of manuscripts increased by 42% after 2022.
To analyze these texts, researchers employed the Pangram 3.1 algorithm, designed to determine the probability of machine-generated content. The results were unequivocal: by early 2026, the vast majority of incoming papers were created—to varying degrees—with the assistance of AI. Simultaneously, objective quality metrics indicate a degradation in prose. According to the Flesch readability index, the average quality of texts declined by 1.28 standard deviations compared to the pre-neural network period.
Editorial gatekeeping has consequently become more stringent. Manuscripts where AI contribution exceeded 70% were rejected at the initial screening stage in 70% of cases, often without even reaching the peer-review phase. In contrast, papers with minimal signs of automation were rejected only 43.7% of the time. Furthermore, the probability of a "revise and resubmit" request for AI-generated texts plummeted from 11.9% to a critical 3.2%, effectively rendering such works unfit for meaningful scientific discourse.
Of particular interest is the phenomenon of the "stylistic trap." Statistical models demonstrated that even flawlessly polished and precise prose could not save a paper from rejection if the underlying content was weak. This confirms the thesis that while AI can simulate the formal aesthetics of academic style, it cannot replace rigorous analytical labor or substantive novelty.
The crisis has also permeated the peer-review process. Analysis shows that reviews prepared by neural networks have become homogenized and cursory. AI reviewers tend to focus on broad theoretical frameworks while largely ignoring critical elements: data validity, methodological rigor, and the interpretation of experimental results.
Nevertheless, the potential of these technologies remains significant. In a large-scale experiment led by James Evans, over six thousand scientists evaluated thousands of hypotheses generated by large language models. The study revealed that while base models produce formulaic ideas, advanced architectures are capable of proposing genuinely innovative concepts that experts deem plausible and practically valuable.
The development of specialized tools also offers hope. For instance, the Qwen3-14B model, fine-tuned on actual scientific reviews, demonstrated 27% higher efficiency than general-purpose models. This suggests that domain-specific AI could evolve into a sophisticated assistant for the researcher.
Ultimately, artificial intelligence has already become an indispensable tool for data retrieval, coding, and preliminary drafting. However, without rigorous human oversight and a fundamental overhaul of how scientific achievement is evaluated, we risk a proliferation of publications that fails to translate into a genuine expansion of human knowledge.

